Tyrion Lannister

New Field Poll Good News for California Marriages

Filed By Tyrion Lannister | July 18, 2008 1:00 PM | comments

Filed in: Marriage Equality, Politics, The Movement

A new poll released by Field Research -- the standard in California polling -- indicates that a proposed amendment to the California state constitution which would define marriage as only between one man and one woman is failing to gain traction. By a margin of 51 % opposed to 42% in favor, Californians seem poised to reject an amendment which would invalidate thousands of existing same-sex marriages. The poll reflects a relatively stable majority in favor of gay marriages: the margin of support for the amendment is unchanged from a late May poll, when 43% favored "having the state constitution prohibit same-sex marriage, by defining marriage as only between a man and a woman."

This seems like really good news to me -- and not just for the obvious reason that same-sex marriage will continue to be legal in largest state. Remember: significant criticism of the California Supreme Court was predicated on the idea that -- in applying the protections of the California state constitution -- it had usurped the democratic process. It had apparently acted in advance of public opinion and stripped the "people" of the right to decide the issue for themselves. Critics will be hardpressed to make similar claims when gay marriage has been approved in the courtroom and at the ballot box.

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It's really looking like they'll defeat Prop 8 at the ballot box. Check out Alex's post on the main site for his reasons why Prop 8 will fail.